Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight

By Gerd Gigerenzer, A. Edwards. British medical journal, 2003

746 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Physiology, Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine, Sociology and Political Science

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/a9bd4324b916f480788979d75196760174ad7318

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Physiology

In Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine

In Sociology and Political Science

Citations in the corpus

Effectual versus predictive logics in entrepreneurial decision-making: Differences between experts and novices (2009, background): “Gigerenzer and his collaborators (Gigerenzer and Goldstein, 1996; Gigerenzer and Edwards, 2003 ) have proposed and tested one reason for this as resulting from the format in which information is presented — i.e.”
Numeric, Verbal, and Visual Formats of Conveying Health Risks: Suggested Best Practices and Future Recommendations (2007, background): “At issue is the exact meaning of single-event probabilities and whether they should be used at all.(13,45) As discussed earlier, a single-event probability can refer to beliefs and/or the objective likelihood of any event’s occurrence.”
Why Heuristics Work (2008, background): “…representations of risk that are adapted to the human mind have improved risk communication in medicine, law, and AIDS counseling and are indispensable for informed consent and shared decision making (Gigerenzer 2002; Gigerenzer & Edwards 2003; Hoffrage, Lindsey, Hertwig, & Gigerenzer, 2000).”
A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol (2018, background): “Wherever possible, questions should be framed in their frequency format because it is less prone to linguistic ambiguity than asking experts for these estimates directly (refer to Gigerenzer & Edwards, 2003; Supplementary Material A).”
Human Decision Making with Machine Assistance (2019, background): “Properties of the advice which affect the propensity to take the advice include the framing [69], the representation [34, 40] and the timing [27, 64] of the advice.”
The meanings of ‘risk’: a view from corpus linguistics (2007, background): “Risk perceptions have also been examined extensively in the past (to cite just a few, see for example Johnson and Tversky, 1985; Frewer et al., 2003; Gigerenzer and Edwards, 2003; Savadori et al., 2004; Silva et al., 2002; Slovic et al., 2004; and Wilson et al., 2004).”
Nudge Versus Boost: How Coherent are Policy and Theory? (2015, background): “Indeed, there is considerable variability in the quantitative answers respondents ultimately give (Gigerenzer and Edwards 2003; see also Brunswik 1956).”
Life After NHST: How to Describe Your Data Without “p-ing” Everywhere (2015, methodology): “More generally, we need to attend much more carefully to the ways that we describe our data (e.g., Gigerenzer & Edwards, 2003), and the tools described next are intended to help.”
Decisions With Uncertainty: The Glass Half Full (2013, background): “…natural frequencies (e.g., 1 time in 10) because they correspond to humans’ experience of acquiring information in the world (Cosmides & Tooby, 1996; Gigerenzer & Hoffrage, 1995) and make explicit the reference class, which is advantageous for certain problems (Gigerenzer & Edwards, 2003).”