Climate-driven range shifts of the king penguin in a fragmented ecosystem
By Robin Cristofari, Xiaoming Liu, F. Bonadonna, Y. Cherel, P. Pistorius, Y. le Maho, V. Raybaud, Nils Chr. Stenseth, C. Le Bohec, E. Trucchi. Nature Climate Change, 2018
99 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Range shift is the primary short-term species response to rapid climate change, but it is often hampered by natural or anthropogenic habitat fragmentation. Different critical areas of a species’ niche may be exposed to heterogeneous environmental changes and modelling species response under such complex spatial and ecological scenarios presents well-known challenges. Here, we use a biophysical ecological niche model validated through population genomics and palaeodemography to reconstruct past range shifts and identify future vulnerable areas and potential refugia of the king penguin in the Southern Ocean. Integrating genomic and demographic data at the whole-species level with specific biophysical constraints, we present a refined framework for predicting the effect of climate change on species relying on spatially and ecologically distinct areas to complete their life cycle (for example, migratory animals, marine pelagic organisms and central-place foragers) and, in general, on species living in fragmented ecosystems.Ecological niche modelling of king penguins in the Southern Ocean, validated with population genomics and palaeodemography data, is used to reconstruct past range shifts and identify future vulnerable areas and potential refugia under climate change.
Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Ecology, Genetics
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/a4eb9f41e89b5fbed551281c6e43018dcab37222
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Ecological Modeling
In Ecology
- R. Phillips
- Y. Ropert‐Coudert
- C. Cotté
- Ari S. Friedlaender
- C. McMahon
- P. Trathan
- Rory P. Wilson
- G. Hays
In Genetics
Citations in the corpus
- Marine Ecosystem Assessment for the Southern Ocean: Birds and Marine Mammals in a Changing Climate (2020, background): “Consequently, frontal proxies such as sea surface temperature (SST) are unreliable for projection studies because a decoupling with the location of the fronts (spatial gradients or isopycnal slopes) may occur due to strong surface warming (Cristofari et al., 2018; Meijers et al., 2019).”