Trade and Manufacturing Jobs in Germany
By W. Dauth, S. Findeisen, Jens Suedekum. Social Science Research Network, 2017
171 citations recorded by the source corpus.
The German economy exhibits rising service and declining manufacturing employment. But this decline is much sharper in import-competing than in export-oriented branches. We first document the individual-level job transitions behind those trends. They are not driven by manufacturing workers who smoothly switch to services. The observed shifts are entirely due to young entrants and returnees from non-employment. We then investigate if rising trade with China and Eastern Europe causally affected those labor flows. Exploiting variation across industries and regions, we find that globalization did not speed up the manufacturing decline in Germany. It even retained those jobs in the economy.
Subfields: Economics and Econometrics
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/a4cb9b4112d065ce35906fa6572e33c1d46ac127
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Economics and Econometrics
- W. Dauth
- Jens Suedekum
- S. Findeisen
- Nicole Wößner
- Henry G. Overman
- M. V. Ehrlich
- Italo Colantone
- Piero Stanig
Citations in the corpus
- The Adjustment of Labor Markets to Robots (2021, methodology): “18For the measurement of predicted trade exposure, we closely follow Dauth et al. (2017a) and Dauth et al. (2021), who compute the increase in German net exports vis-à-vis China and 21 Eastern European countries over the period 1994-2014 for every manufacturing industry j using UN Comtrade data, nor”
- German Robots - The Impact of Industrial Robots on Workers (2017, methodology): “As in Dauth et al. (2014, 2017) we find a positive impact on local employ ment, which is highly significant in the IV approach where third-country trade flows are now used as additional instruments.”