Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review
By Justin Lessler, N. Reich, R. Brookmeyer, Trish Perl, K. Nelson, Derek A. T. Cummings. Lancet. Infectious Diseases (Print), 2009
860 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Knowledge of the incubation period is essential in the investigation and control of infectious disease, but statements of incubation period are often poorly referenced, inconsistent, or based on limited data. In a systematic review of the literature on nine respiratory viral infections of public-health importance, we identified 436 articles with statements of incubation period and 38 with data for pooled analysis. We fitted a log-normal distribution to pooled data and found the median incubation period to be 5·6 days (95% CI 4·8–6·3) for adenovirus, 3·2 days (95% CI 2·8–3·7) for human coronavirus, 4·0 days (95% CI 3·6–4·4) for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, 1·4 days (95% CI 1·3–1·5) for influenza A, 0·6 days (95% CI 0·5–0·6) for influenza B, 12·5 days (95% CI 11·8–13·3) for measles, 2·6 days (95% CI 2·1–3·1) for parainfluenza, 4·4 days (95% CI 3·9–4·9) for respiratory syncytial virus, and 1·9 days (95% CI 1·4–2·4) for rhinovirus. When using the incubation period, it is important to consider its full distribution: the right tail for quarantine policy, the central regions for likely times and sources of infection, and the full distribution for models used in pandemic planning. Our estimates combine published data to give the detail necessary for these and other applications.
Subfields: Epidemiology, Modeling and Simulation
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/a0b85e2e75b233da3ff627b567483b8ced1ac2fb
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Epidemiology
Citations in the corpus
- Systematic Comparison of Two Animal-to-Human Transmitted Human Coronaviruses: SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV (2020, neutral): “The incubation period of SARS is 1–4 days [33].”
- Human Rhinoviruses (2013, background): “The common cold is primarily a self-limited illness in immunocompetent hosts, with an average incubation period of 2 days (97, 98) and a symptom duration period of 7 to 14 days (5, 99).”
- Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data (2020, methodology): “The time from the illness onset to death is also comparable to SARS [16] , and the 15-20-day mean delay indicates that a crude estimation of the ratio of the cumulative number of deaths to that of confirmed cases will tend to result in an underestimation of the case fatality risk, especially during ”
- The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application (2020, background): “For our primary analysis, we assumed that the incubation time follows a log-normal distribution, as seen in other acute respiratory viral infections (12).”
- Incubation period of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infections among travellers from Wuhan, China, 20–28 January 2020 (2020, neutral): “Incubation period (days) 0 5 10 15 MERS Saudi Arabia (Virlogeux, 2016 [21]) MERS South Korea (Virlogeux, 2016 [21]) MERS (Cauchemez, 2014 [20]) MERS (Assiri, 2013 [19]) SARS meta (Lessler, 2009 [18]) SARS Taiwan (Lau, 2010 [17]) SARS Beijing (Lau, 2010 [17]) SARS Hong Kong (Lau, 2010 [17]) SARS (Cow”
- Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): current status and future perspectives (2020, background): “It is estimated that SARS-CoV-2 latency s consistent with those of other known human CoVs, including on-SARS human CoVs (mean 3 days, range 2–5 days) [48] , SARSoV (mean 5 days, range 2–14 days) [49] and MERS-CoV (mean”