The End-to-End Attribution Problem: From Emissions to Impacts

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Causal Counterfactual Theory for the Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Events (2016, background): “In the conventional approach, which was introduced one decade ago by M. R. Allen and colleagues (Allen 2003; Stone and Allen 2005), one evaluates the extent to which a given external climate forcing f ∈ F —where F encompasses, for instance, solar irradiation, greenhouse gas (GHG) 99JANUARY…”
Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003 (2004, background): “However, it is possible to estimate by how much human activities may have increased the risk of the occurrence of such a heatwave (Palmer and Räisänen 2002; Allen 2003; Stone and Allen 2005).”