Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020

By K. Mizumoto, Katsushi Kagaya, A. Zarebski, Gerardo Chowell. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2020

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On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections’ timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5–20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Modeling and Simulation, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/9c062b93f213cbe9e13d2f1863ddcd1f0007211e

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