Objective priors for the bivariate normal model

By James O. Berger, Dongchu Sun. 2008

103 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Summary Objective Bayesian inference for the multivariate normal distribution is illustrated, using dieren t types of formal objective priors (Jereys, invariant, reference and matching), dieren t modes of inference (Bayesian and frequentist), and dieren t criteria involved in selecting optimal objective priors (ease of computation, frequentist performance, marginalization paradoxes, and decision-theoretic evaluation). In the course of the investigation of the bivariate normal model in Berger and Sun (2006), a variety of surprising results were found, including the availability of objective priors that yield exact frequentist inferences for many functions of the bivariate normal parameters, such as the correlation coecien t. Certain of these results are generalized to the multivariate normal situation. The prior that most frequently yields exact frequentist inference is the rightHaar prior, which unfortunately is not unique. Two natural proposals are studied for dealing with this non-uniqueness: rst, mixing over the right-Haar priors; second, choosing the ‘empirical Bayes’ right-Haar prior, that which maximizes the marginal likelihood of the data. Quite surprisingly, we show that neither of these possibilities yields a good solution. This is disturbing and sobering. It is yet another indication that improper priors do not behave as do proper priors, and that it can be dangerous to apply ‘understandings’ from the world of proper priors to the world of improper priors.

Subfields: Statistics and Probability

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/9899dc5641dd76794e61e16508006e528ef3205f

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