The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport
By J. Barton, Sikai Huang, David Infield, Matthew Leach, Damiete Ogunkunle, Jacopo Torriti, M. Thomson. 2013
161 citations recorded by the source corpus.
This paper explores the possible evolution of UK electricity demand as we move along three potential transition pathways to a low carbon economy in 2050. The shift away from fossil fuels through the electrification of demand is discussed, particularly through the uptake of heat pumps and electric vehicles in the domestic and passenger transport sectors. Developments in the way people and institutions may use energy along each of the pathways are also considered and provide a rationale for the quantification of future annual electricity demands in various broad sectors. The paper then presents detailed modelling of hourly balancing of these demands in the context of potential low carbon generation mixes associated with the three pathways. In all cases, hourly balancing is shown to be a significant challenge. To minimise the need for conventional generation to operate with very low capacity factors, a variety of demand side participation measures are modelled and shown to provide significant benefits. Lastly, projections of operational greenhouse gas emissions from the UK and the imports of fossil fuels to the UK for each of the three pathways are presented.
Subfields: Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/8d26e9892bd59a401bb5985ccab363b70a7af80a
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In Electrical and Electronic Engineering
In Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
Citations in the corpus
- A socio-technical perspective on low carbon investment challenges – Insights for UK energy policy (2015, background): “The final stages of pathway construction involved an assessment of the technical feasibility of the scenarios (for a fuller technical assessment of the pathways see: Foxon, 2013, Barton et al., 2013).”
- The addition of heat pump electricity load profiles to GB electricity demand: Evidence from a heat pump field trial (2017, background): “It is assumed in some previous studies that heat pump load profiles are flat, implying continuous operation [19], and in other literature that they are run at times of assumed space heating demand [13–15], giving a bimodal profile with two strong peaks similar to the load profile of gas boilers.”
- Direct or indirect electrification? A review of heat generation and road transport decarbonisation scenarios for Germany 2050 (2019, background): “The electricity consumption for heating can be highly variable and imply major challenges for the electricity system balance if no demand side management is applied [12, 34].”