Globalization, Domestic Politics, and Social Spending in Latin America: A Time-Series Cross-Section Analysis, 1973-97

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The role of democracy in Uganda's move to universal primary education (2005, background): “Lake and Baum (2001) argue that democratically elected governments have a stronger incentive than their authoritarian counterparts to provide basic services more generally.”
Redistribution Under the Right in Latin America: Electoral Competition and Organized Actors in Policymaking (2017, background): “…economic integration pressured Latin American governments to limit taxation and social spending in the 1980s and 1990s (Haggard & Kaufman, 2008; Kaufman & Segura-Ubiergo, 2001), whereas commodity booms in the 2000s sustained redistribution under left-wing governments in resource-rich countries…”
Welfare States in Developing Countries: Unique or Universal? (2007, positive): “…convergence in LDCs through observations that expanding trade and capital flows encourage the widespread adoption of conservative fiscal policies to constrain purportedly unproductive, or “inefficient,” social spending (see, for example, Kaufman and Segura-Ubiergo 2001; Rudra 2002; Wibbels 2006).”
The Logic of Authoritarian Bargains (2009, result): “between per-capita income and welfare expenditures is consistent with the consensus on wealth and the expansion of the welfare state [Lindert (1994)].”