VI—Bayesian Expressivism

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On the semantics and pragmatics of epistemic vocabulary (2015, background): “Kolodny & MacFarlane 2010 and Yalcin 2012b, for instance, defend semantic theories according to which each of the relevant inference rules is literally invalid.”
Non-monotonicity in NPI licensing (2014, background): “…set), we may treat it as a set of pairs where the first element of a pair is a set of possible worlds (a live candidate for the context set) and the second element is a likelihood function defined on a Boolean algebra on that set of possible worlds (see blunt information states in Yalcin 2012).”
Must, knowledge, and (in)directness (2016, result): “…of probability in the semantics of epistemic language more generally—a point made first by Yalcin (2005, 2007) and Swanson (2006), and reinforced in much subsequent work (e.g., Yalcin 2010, 2012a,b,c; Swanson 2010, 2015; Lassiter 2010, 2014, 2015, 2016; Moss 2013, 2015; Klecha 2012, 2014).”