Predicting cancer outcomes from histology and genomics using convolutional networks

By Pooya Mobadersany, Safoora Yousefi, M. Amgad, D. Gutman, Jill S. Barnholtz-Sloan, José E. Velázquez Vega, D. Brat, Lee A. D. Cooper. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2017

948 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Significance Predicting the expected outcome of patients diagnosed with cancer is a critical step in treatment. Advances in genomic and imaging technologies provide physicians with vast amounts of data, yet prognostication remains largely subjective, leading to suboptimal clinical management. We developed a computational approach based on deep learning to predict the overall survival of patients diagnosed with brain tumors from microscopic images of tissue biopsies and genomic biomarkers. This method uses adaptive feedback to simultaneously learn the visual patterns and molecular biomarkers associated with patient outcomes. Our approach surpasses the prognostic accuracy of human experts using the current clinical standard for classifying brain tumors and presents an innovative approach for objective, accurate, and integrated prediction of patient outcomes. Cancer histology reflects underlying molecular processes and disease progression and contains rich phenotypic information that is predictive of patient outcomes. In this study, we show a computational approach for learning patient outcomes from digital pathology images using deep learning to combine the power of adaptive machine learning algorithms with traditional survival models. We illustrate how these survival convolutional neural networks (SCNNs) can integrate information from both histology images and genomic biomarkers into a single unified framework to predict time-to-event outcomes and show prediction accuracy that surpasses the current clinical paradigm for predicting the overall survival of patients diagnosed with glioma. We use statistical sampling techniques to address challenges in learning survival from histology images, including tumor heterogeneity and the need for large training cohorts. We also provide insights into the prediction mechanisms of SCNNs, using heat map visualization to show that SCNNs recognize important structures, like microvascular proliferation, that are related to prognosis and that are used by pathologists in grading. These results highlight the emerging role of deep learning in precision medicine and suggest an expanding utility for computational analysis of histology in the future practice of pathology.

Subfields: Artificial Intelligence, Biophysics, Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/7b05161938f4e5f89ddd7ab7f432de8ecab1566e

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