Use and Misuse of the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve in Risk Prediction

By Nancy R. Cook. Circulation, 2007

2,110 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Statistics and Probability

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/76a7f673d9af9898c16a32680a786d0cedfdd9f0

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Citations in the corpus

External validation of prognostic models: what, why, how, when and where? (2020, methodology): “When assessing the overall performance of a prognostic model, it is important to take both discrimination and calibration into account, as well as the intended use of the model [4, 26, 27].”
The predictive validity of risk assessment tools for female offenders: A systematic review (2015, background): “…refers to how well an instrument in predicting risk coincides with observed risk, while discrimination refers to how well an instrument separates those who engage in a particular activity (such as violence or reoffending behaviors) from those who do not (Cook, 2007 as cited in Singh, 2013).”
Bone microarchitecture assessed by TBS predicts osteoporotic fractures independent of bone density: The manitoba study (2011, methodology): “The relatively small incremental change in AUCs from using TBS in combination with BMD is not unexpected given the already existing high correlation between BMD and fracture, and there has been criticism of overreliance on ROC analysis for assessing additional risk factors.((45,46)) When we examined”
Statistical evaluation of prognostic versus diagnostic models: beyond the ROC curve. (2008, background): “Lipid measures, which are accepted measures in cardiovascular risk prediction, have ORs closer to 1.7 (4, 14 ), leading to very little change in the ROC curve.”
Predictive validity performance indicators in violence risk assessment: a methodological primer. (2013, background): “Calibration refers to how well a risk assessment tool ’ s predictions of risk agree with actual observed risk, whereas discrimination refers to how well an instrument is able to separate those who went on to be violent from those who did not (Cook, 2007).”