The 2006–2008 oil bubble: Evidence of speculation, and prediction

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Bubble Diagnosis and Prediction of the 2005-2007 and 2008-2009 Chinese Stock Market Bubbles (2009, unknown): “…above, subsequent successes include the predictions of the peak in mid-2004 of the real-estate bubble in the UK by Zhou and Sornette (2003a), of the peak in mid-2006 of the US housing bubble by Zhou and Sornette(2006b) and of the peak in July 2008 of the global oil bubble by Sornette et al. (2009).”
Dragon-Kings, Black Swans and the Prediction of Crises (2009, methodology): “il price time series was scanned in multiple windows. Also shown are dates of our original analysis in June 2008 and the actual observed peak oil price on 3 July 2008. Reproduced from Sornette et al. [68]. Manuscript title 15 Fig 28 (19 February 2009) Our analysis has been performed on data kindly p”
Clarifications to questions and criticisms on the Johansen–Ledoit–Sornette financial bubble model (2011, methodology): “Taking into account the two points mentioned above, the quality of the fits with the JLS model is furthermore checked by the visualization of the fits and the original data [17, 18, 34, 35, 80].”
Oil price dynamics: A behavioral finance approach with heterogeneous agents (2010, background): “However, there are large misalignments between the price and the fundamental value of crude oil (Sornette et al., 2009).”