Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought

By C. Kelley, S. Mohtadi, M. Cane, R. Seager, Y. Kushnir. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2015

1,199 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Global and Planetary Change, Sociology and Political Science

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/6b0f8225cc7f5bbebba123b3d7dfbb2548ec3db8

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Citations in the corpus

Global urban population exposure to extreme heat (2021, methodology): “Next, we examine the summer of 2010 in Syria, which was the final year of a 4-y drought that was two to three times more likely because of climate change (48).”
Food security and conflict: Empirical challenges and future opportunities for research and policy making on food security and conflict (2019, background): “More generally, decreases in agricultural productivity may directly activate societal grievances due to increasing destitution, famine, distress, migration or aggravated social inequalities (Barnett and Adger, 2007; Raleigh and Kniveton, 2012; Kelley et al., 2015; Reuveny, 2007; Raleigh, 2010).”
Moist Heat Stress on a Hotter Earth (2020, background): “…social impacts, such as crime, strife, conflict, reduced educational attainment, morbidity, and reduced labor productivity (Burke et al. 2009, Kelley et al. 2015, Schleussner et al. 2016, Mora et al. 2017a, Randell & Gray 2019), both now and in the future (Jendritzky & Tinz 2009, Sherwood &…”
The Groundwater‒Energy‒Food Nexus in Iran’s Agricultural Sector: Implications for Water Security (2019, neutral): “These problems are rampant to varying levels in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, where prolonged droughts have, in part, been a catalyst of political unrest and social instability in countries like Syria [14]. as opposed to prohibitive water and energy prices.”
Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways (2016, background): “…impact of improvements in socioeconomic conditions and restrained population growth—which by design are associated with lower barriers to climate change mitigation—figure 4 visualizes the difference in estimated end-of-century conflict risk between fragmentation (SSP3) and sustainability (SSP1).”
Understanding barriers to decision making in the UK energy-food-water nexus: The added value of interdisciplinary approaches (2016, background): “The paper presents findings from five themed workshops (shocks and hazards, infrastructure, local economy, governance and governments, finance and insurance) with 80 stakeholders from academia, government and industry in the UK to explore the impact of climate and weather shocks across the…”
The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: from 25 years of inaction to a global transformation for public health. (2017, background): “For example, in Syria, many attribute the initial and continued conflict to the rural937 to-urban migration that resulted from a climate change-induced drought.(64,65) However, the factors 938 leading to the violence are wide-ranging and complex, with clear quantifiable attribution particularly 939 ”
Climate Change and Global Food Systems: Potential Impacts on Food Security and Undernutrition. (2017, background): “Climate change may exacerbate social exclusion by increasing competition for scarce natural resources and forcing mass migration (9), factors that played important roles over the past few decades in severely restricting food access during civil conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East (26”
Accelerating Poverty Reduction in Africa (2019, background): “Plus généralement, les baisses de la productivité agricole, souvent dues à la sécheresse, peuvent directement faire naître des griefs dans la société en accroissant la misère, la famine et les migrations de détresse, comme en République arabe syrienne (Kelley et al., 2015)15.”