Trading volume and the predictability of return and volatility in the cryptocurrency market

By Elie Bouri, Chi Keung Marco Lau, Brian M. Lucey, David Roubaud. Finance Research Letters, 2019

205 citations recorded by the source corpus.

We extend our limited understanding on the Granger causality from trading volume to the returns and volatility in the cryptocurrency market via a copula-quantile causality approach. Using daily data of seven leading cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, Litecoin, Nem, Dash, and Stellar), results show that trading volume Granger causes extreme negative and positive returns of all cryptocurrencies under study. However, volume Granger causes return volatility for only three cryptocurrencies (Litecoin, NEM, and Dash) when the volatility is low. However, this latter result only holds when squared returns are used as a proxy of volatility and not when GARCH volatility is employed.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Finance, Information Systems

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/6ac9b46f99a92555f8b70eeb7500cb68587b2d99

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In Economics and Econometrics

  1. David Martínez-Rego
  2. Carmine Ventre
  3. Leslie Kanthan
  4. Lingbo Li
  5. Fan Wu
  6. Fan Fang
  7. H. Kong
  8. Michail Basios

In Finance

  1. David Martínez-Rego
  2. Carmine Ventre
  3. Leslie Kanthan
  4. Lingbo Li
  5. Fan Wu
  6. Fan Fang
  7. H. Kong
  8. Michail Basios

In Information Systems

  1. David Martínez-Rego
  2. Carmine Ventre
  3. Leslie Kanthan
  4. Lingbo Li
  5. Fan Wu
  6. Fan Fang
  7. H. Kong
  8. Michail Basios

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