An assessment of three alternatives to linear trends for characterizing global atmospheric temperature changes

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An update of observed stratospheric temperature trends (2009, background): “: STRATOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE TRENDS 7 of 21 D02107 for 1979–2007 is evident in the MSU and radiosonde time series, although the evolution of the near-global time series may be better characterized as stepwise than linear [Pawson et al., 1998; Seidel and Lanzante, 2004; Ramaswamy et al., 2006].”
State of the climate in 2010 (2011, background): “…of lower stratospheric temperature by latitude. a 1989–98 base period is used. gray areas indicate regions where data are unavailable. trend, though the relatively large excursions from the trend line make possible other interpretations than a single straight line (Seidel and Lanzante 2004).”