Change-point detection in high-dimensional covariance structure

By Valeriy Avanesov, Nazar Buzun. 2016

66 citations recorded by the source corpus.

In this paper we introduce a novel approach for an important problem of break detection. Specifically, we are interested in detection of an abrupt change in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional random process -- a problem, which has applications in many areas e.g., neuroimaging and finance. The developed approach is essentially a testing procedure involving a choice of a critical level. To that end a non-standard bootstrap scheme is proposed and theoretically justified under mild assumptions. Theoretical study features a result providing guaranties for break detection. All the theoretical results are established in a high-dimensional setting (dimensionality $p \gg n$). Multiscale nature of the approach allows for a trade-off between sensitivity of break detection and localization. The approach can be naturally employed in an on-line setting. Simulation study demonstrates that the approach matches the nominal level of false alarm probability and exhibits high power, outperforming a recent approach.

Subfields: Control and Systems Engineering, Finance, Statistics and Probability

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/677fb0f69de20e480502ff2073fff52b64137508

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In Control and Systems Engineering

  1. Alessandro Rinaldo

In Finance

  1. Yi Yu
  2. Alessandro Rinaldo
  3. Daren Wang

In Statistics and Probability

  1. Yi Yu
  2. Alessandro Rinaldo
  3. Daren Wang
  4. Kengo Kato

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