Evaluating phenological models for the prediction of leaf-out dates in six temperate tree species across central Europe

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Plant phenology and global climate change: Current progresses and challenges (2019, background): “Nonetheless, evidence that supports the out‐ performance of models involving two‐phase leaf unfolding ver‐ sus one‐phase models is still limited (Basler, 2016; Chen, Melaas, Gray, Friedl, & Richardson, 2016; Melaas, Friedl, & Richardson, 2015).”
Where, why and how? Explaining the low‐temperature range limits of temperate tree species (2016, background): “Yet, these models commonly only work for locations from which parameterization was adopted and they systematically underestimate the inter-annual variation of spring phenology, thus indicating that the actual mechanisms of bud development are not correctly implemented (Basler 2016).”