On the Determination of Subjective Probability by Choices

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Axiomatic Foundations of Expected Utility and Subjective Probability (2014, background): “Karni and Mongin (2000) observe that if the decision maker’s beliefs are a cognitive phenomenon, quantifiable by a probability measure, then the subjective probability Author’s personal copy”
Uncertainty Aversion with Second-Order Utilities and Probabilities (2006, background): “(Interestingly, (2) can also be reinterpreted from the perspective of Klibanoff et al.’s (2005) model: it is as if the decision maker believes that the unknown red/black proportion is equally likely to be 0 or 1, and she is averse to this second-order uncertainty.”