A probabilistic framework for assessing drought recovery

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Agricultural Drought Prediction Based on Conditional Distributions of Vine Copulas (2021, background): “Natural hazards, such as droughts and heat waves, have an adverse economic impact (Hao et al., 2017; Hao, Singh, et al., 2018; Liu et al., 2019; Pan et al., 2013).”
A continuous rainfall model based on vine copulas (2015, background): “…ability to represent positive or negative dependence Furthermore, this family is frequently applied to describe bivariate hydrological phenomena (Pan et al., 2013) Alternative families could better ﬁt the different dependences within the vine copula – however, the search for the best ﬁtting…”