Modelling species distributions without using species distributions: the cane toad in Australia under current and future climates

By Michael R. Kearney, B. Phillips, C. Tracy, K. Christian, G. Betts, Warren P. Porter. 2008

388 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/5e170a7f58d54e5e955534ed400ff2a9355114c3

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In Ecological Modeling

In Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

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Citations in the corpus

The uncertain nature of absences and their importance in species distribution modelling (2010, background): “…in the prediction of presences in other spatial or time scenarios (as provided by e.g. biological invasions or fossil data, Sax et al. 2007 and Nogués-Bravo et al. 2008, respectively), and by examining the agreement among physiological and distributional data (Dormann 2007, Kearney et al. 2008).”
The art of modelling range‐shifting species (2010, methodology): “…predictions to the same maximum value; AUC (see point a, above) was calculated using thresholded mechanistic predictions as the observation of presence or absence (AUCmech), using a threshold of 3 months suitable for breeding (Kearney et al. 2008) as the minimum suitable for species persistence.”
Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change (2010, background): “…environmental conditions on landscape scale as a function of climate, vegetation, and terrain, and so to develop mechanistic models of range limits independent of a species’ present range (Porter et al. 2002; Kearney & Porter 2004; Buckley 2008; Kearney et al. 2008; Kearney & Porter 2009).”
Applications and future challenges in marine species distribution modeling (2011, neutral): “species (Kearney and Porter, 2004; Kearney et al., 2008).”
Equilibrium or not? Modelling potential distribution of invasive species in different stages of invasion (2012, background): “…potential introduction sites (e.g. Peterson, 2003; 78 Diversity and Distributions, 18, 73–83, ª 2011 Blackwell Publishing Ltd Fitzpatrick et al., 2007) or (2) mechanistic models based on physiological responses of organisms to their environment (e.g. Meentemeyer et al., 2004; Kearney et al., 2008).”
Projecting climate change impacts on species distributions in megadiverse South African Cape and Southwest Australian Floristic Regions: Opportunities and challenges (2009, methodology): “An alternative approach using physiologically motivated mechanistic models also shows promise (Kearney et al. 2008).”
Adapting to climate change: a perspective from evolutionary physiology (2010, background): “…in the past (Dynesius & Jansson 2000, Davis & Shaw 2001), much attention has also been given to forecasting the likely effects of ongoing climate change on species and ecosystems from these perspectives (e.g. Midgley et al. 2003, Thomas et al. 2004, Thuiller et al. 2006, Kearney et al. 2008).”
The role of temperature and desiccation stress in limiting the local‐scale distribution of the owl limpet, Lottia gigantea (2009, background): “As with terrestrial species (Kearney & Porter 2004; Buckley & Roughgarden 2006; Pincebourde et al. 2007; Mitchell et al. 2008; Kearney et al. 2008), a growing number of biophysical models for important intertidal species such as the limpets, mussels, and algae (Bell 1995; Helmuth 1999; Denny & Harle”
Microclimate modelling at macro scales: a test of a general microclimate model integrated with gridded continental‐scale soil and weather data (2014, methodology): “One microclimate model which has been used in landscape-scale calculations of the physiological impacts of cli- mate (e.g. Porter et al. 2002; Kearney & Porter 2004; Natori & Porter 2007; Kearney et al. 2008; Mitchell et al. 2008, 2013;*Correspondence author.”
What does ecological modelling model? A proposed classification of ecological niche models based on their underlying methods (2011, background): “species distribution and the variables, independently of the species records available (Kearney and Porter, 2004, 2009; Kearney et al., 2008).”
Predicting distributions of invasive species (2013, methodology): “ Colwell, R. K. and Rangel, T. F. (2009).”