Predicting survival, reproduction and abundance of polar bears under climate change.

By P. Molnár, A. Derocher, G. Thiemann, Mark A. Lewis. 2010

221 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Atmospheric Science, Ecology

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/51d2a79b0e608b73506828422e3b3ea51d04bcdb

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Atmospheric Science

1. A. Derocher
2. Ian Stirling
3. Steven C. Amstrup
4. Kit M. Kovacs
5. C. Lydersen
6. J. Aars
7. G. Thiemann
8. S. Moore

In Ecology

1. Ian Stirling
2. Steven C. Amstrup
3. A. Derocher
4. Kit M. Kovacs
5. C. Lydersen
6. G. Thiemann
7. J. Aars
8. S. Moore

Citations in the corpus

• Trends in body condition in polar bears (Ursus maritimus) from the Southern Hudson Bay subpopulation in relation to changes in sea ice (2016, background): “For example, Molnár et al. (2010, 2014) estimated that 2–3% of adult males in WH would die before the end of a 120 day summer fasting period but 9–21% would die if climate warming increases the fasting period to 180 days.”
• Importance of fast ice and glacier fronts for female polar bears and their cubs during spring in Svalbard, Norway (2012, unknown): “Predictions of future polar bear abundance (Hunter et al. 2010, Molnar et al. 2010) and habitat distribution (Durner et al. 2009, Amstrup et al. 2010) based on predicted sea-ice trends are potential tools for population management (e.g. setting harvest quotas or making conservation status…”
• Hibernation and seasonal fasting in bears: the energetic costs and consequences for polar bears (2012, methodology): “Thus, the current estimate of survival by adult males and those of Molnár et al. (2010) of 28% mortality with a 6-month fast as global warming occurs are in surprising agreement when one considers the very different models used (Molnár et al. 2009).”
• Rapid ecosystem change and polar bear conservation (2013, methodology): “For example, integration of sea ice monitoring into population management (Sahanatien & Derocher 2012) and habitat-linked population viability analyses (Hunter et al. 2010), or energetics modeling (Molnár et al. 2010) may facilitate early detection of risk and its potential extent.”
• Forecasting the relative influence of environmental and anthropogenic stressors on polar bears (2016, background): “Moreover, energy budget models suggest a 30- d increase in the length of the open- water season could lead to a significant rise in reproductive failure and starvation for populations already experiencing protracted open- water periods (Molnár et al. 2010, 2014, Robbins et al. 2013).”
• Impacts of changing sea-ice conditions on Arctic marine mammals (2011, background): “Polar bears are scarce in the permanent MYI of the central Arctic Ocean as they prefer FYI that forms over shelf areas where seals, their primary prey, are most abundant (Molnar et al. 2010).”