Batch Stationary Distribution Estimation

By Junfeng Wen, Bo Dai, Lihong Li, Dale Schuurmans. 2020

26 citations recorded by the source corpus.

We consider the problem of approximating the stationary distribution of an ergodic Markov chain given a set of sampled transitions. Classical simulation-based approaches assume access to the underlying process so that trajectories of sufficient length can be gathered to approximate stationary sampling. Instead, we consider an alternative setting where a fixed set of transitions has been collected beforehand, by a separate, possibly unknown procedure. The goal is still to estimate properties of the stationary distribution, but without additional access to the underlying system. We propose a consistent estimator that is based on recovering a correction ratio function over the given data. In particular, we develop a variational power method (VPM) that provides provably consistent estimates under general conditions. In addition to unifying a number of existing approaches from different subfields, we also find that VPM yields significantly better estimates across a range of problems, including queueing, stochastic differential equations, post-processing MCMC, and off-policy evaluation.

Subfields: Management Information Systems, Management Science and Operations Research, Statistics and Probability, Probabilistic & Bayesian Methods

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Management Information Systems

  1. Mohammad Norouzi
  2. Sergey Levine
  3. Alexander Novikov
  4. Ziyun Wang
  5. Cosmin Paduraru
  6. Alekh Agarwal
  7. Ofir Nachum

In Management Science and Operations Research

  1. Sergey Levine
  2. Ofir Nachum
  3. Aviral Kumar
  4. George Tucker
  5. Justin Fu
  6. Mohammad Norouzi
  7. Mengjiao Yang
  8. Cosmin Paduraru

In Statistics and Probability

  1. George Tucker
  2. Sergey Levine
  3. Ziyun Wang
  4. Cosmin Paduraru
  5. T. Paine
  6. Mohammad Norouzi
  7. Michael R. Zhang
  8. Mengjiao Yang

In Probabilistic & Bayesian Methods

  1. George Tucker
  2. Mengjiao Yang
  3. Ofir Nachum
  4. Mohammad Norouzi
  5. Justin Fu
  6. Aviral Kumar
  7. Sergey Levine
  8. Alexander Novikov

Citations in the corpus