A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism

By Maria Berrittella, A. Bigano, Roberto Roson, Richard S. J. Tol. 2006

406 citations recorded by the source corpus.

This paper studies the economic implications of climate-change-induced variations in tourism demand, using a world CGE model. The model is first re-calibrated at some future years, obtaining hypothetical benchmark equilibria, which are subsequently perturbed by shocks, simulating the effects of climate change. We portray the impact of climate change on tourism by means of two sets of shocks, occurring simultaneously. The first shocks translate predicted variations in tourist flows into changes of consumption preferences for domestically produced goods. The second shocks reallocate income across world regions, simulating the effect of higher or lower tourists’ expenditure. Our analysis highlights that variations in tourist flows will affect regional economies in a way that is directly related to the sign and magnitude of flow variations. At a global scale, climate change will ultimately lead to a welfare loss, unevenly spread across regions.

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Citations in the corpus

The impact of climate change on Caribbean tourism demand (2010, background): “9 Rather than focusing on the climatic features of the home destination, Berrittella et al. (2006) attempt to consider the effects of climate change on the general consumption preferences of tourists using a world computable general equilibrium model to assess the potential effects of climate change”
Water scarcity and the impact of improved irrigation management: a computable general equilibrium analysis (2011, methodology): “Like Feng et al. (2007), Berrittella et al. (2006) analyze the economic effects of the Chinese SNWT project.”
Climate Change and Economic Growth: Impacts and Interactions (2012, methodology): “(2006, 2007) and Berrittella et al. (2006) have also used comparative static CGE models to quantify specific effects of the climate change.”
Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Human Health (2006, background): “…equilibrium JEL Classification: C68, D58, Q25 This paper was presented at the Workshop on Infectious Diseases: Ecological and Economic Approaches held in Trieste on 13-15 April 2005 and organised by the Ecological and Environmental Economics - EEE Programme, a joint three-year programme of ICTP -”
The Impact of Temperature Change on Energy Demand: A Dynamic Panel Analysis (2007, background): “…human health, through the diffusion of heat-related, coldrelated, vector-borne diseases (Bosello, Roson and Tol, 2006), tourist destination choices (Berrittella et al., 2006), availability of water resources, frequency and severity of extreme events (Calzadilla, Pauli and Roson, 2006) or demand…”
Climate-change feedback on economic growth: explorations with a dynamic general equilibrium model (2010, methodology): “, 1993), integrated with data from Bijlsma et al. (1996), Nicholls and Leatherman (1995), Nicholls et al.”
Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand. Evidence from Aruba (2014, background): “Berrittella et al., 2006; Hamilton et al., 2005; Hamilton & Tol, 2007; Scott et al., 2004; Soboll & Dingeldey, 2012). These forward-looking studies incorporated multiple destinations as units of analysis, making scenarios for up to the year 2100. All these investigations found that climate change wi”