Useful techniques of validation for spatially explicit land-change models

By Robert Gilmore Pontius Jr., D. Huffaker, K. Denman. 2004

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Revisiting Kappa to account for change in the accuracy assessment of land-use change models (2011, background): “both as a process and as a judgement can be found in Power (1993), Oreskes et al.”
Comparing the input, output, and validation maps for several models of land change (2008, background): “A series of papers describe how to budget the total disagreement between any two maps that share a categorical variable in terms of separable components (Pontius 2000, 2002; Pontius et al. 2004b).”
The Map Comparison Kit (2006, background): “For some analyses aggregating both maps to a coarser grid would prove interesting (Pontius, 2002; Pontius et al., 2004).”
Characterising performance of environmental models (2013, methodology): “Pontius (2004) presents a method for spatially explicit land-change models.”
Scenario Simulation and the Prediction of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Beijing, China (2015, background): “Recent validation studies have indicated that most spatial models still contain a high level of uncertainty [50].”