The ‘heuristics and biases’ bias in expert elicitation

By M. Kynn. 2007

235 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: General Decision Sciences, Management Science and Operations Research, Statistics and Probability

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/4f21f9129fdfe9b86dfd8160f636e21275115b55

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In General Decision Sciences

1. Tilmann Gneiting
2. Mark A. Burgman
3. Roopesh Ranjan
4. M. McBride
5. Fiona Fidler
6. John K. Kruschke

In Management Science and Operations Research

1. Roopesh Ranjan
2. Tilmann Gneiting
3. Mark A. Burgman
4. Kerrie L. Mengersen
5. M. McBride
6. Fiona Fidler
7. James W. Taylor
8. Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir

In Statistics and Probability

1. S. Low-Choy
2. Tilmann Gneiting
3. Tara G. Martin
4. Mark A. Burgman
5. Roopesh Ranjan
6. Kerrie L. Mengersen
7. M. McBride
8. Fiona Fidler

Citations in the corpus

• Combining probability forecasts (2010, background): “(1982) and Kynn (2008), page 253), the fixed point in condition (8) can be taken to be x0 = 3 4 .”
• Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012, background): “Substantial research has concentrated on methods to overcome these problems (Kynn 2008).”