A brief history of forecasting competitions
By Rob J Hyndman. 2020
122 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Forecasting competitions are now so widespread that it is often forgotten how controversial they were when first held, and how influential they have been over the years. I briefly review the history of forecasting competitions, and discuss what we have learned about their design and implementation, and what they can tell us about forecasting. I also provide a few suggestions for potential future competitions, and for research about forecasting based on competitions.
Subfields: Artificial Intelligence, Management Science and Operations Research, Statistics and Probability, Evaluation & Benchmarks
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In Artificial Intelligence
In Management Science and Operations Research
- Yanfei Kang
- Feng Li
- Xiaoqian Wang
- Rob J Hyndman
- Fotios Petropoulos
- George Athanasopoulos
- Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
- Han Lin Shang
In Statistics and Probability
- Yanfei Kang
- Rob J Hyndman
- Feng Li
- Xiaoqian Wang
- Han Lin Shang
- George Athanasopoulos
- Fotios Petropoulos
- Christoph Bergmeir
In Evaluation & Benchmarks
- Yanfei Kang
- Rob J Hyndman
- Feng Li
- Xiaoqian Wang
- Nikolaos Kourentzes
- Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
- Fotios Petropoulos
- Guilherme de Alencar Barreto
Citations in the corpus
- Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review (2022, background): “An early example of an equally weighted combination is from the M-competition, the first forecasting competition run by Spyros Makridakis and Michèle Hibon, involving 1001 time series; see Makridakis et al. (1982) and Hyndman (2020) for more details of the competition.”