Forecasting real estate prices

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Explosive bubbles in house prices? Evidence from the OECD countries (2015, unknown): “[18] Ghysels, E.”
Forecasting: theory and practice (2020, background): “Why are then complex models preferred to simple ones, if the latter deliver more accurate forecasts? Brighton and Gigerenzer (2015) claim that there is a tendency to overemphasize the bias component and downplay the role of variance.”
Testing for Information Asymmetries in Real Estate Markets (2015, unknown): “In housing markets, however, it is a well-established fact that aggregate price changes are at least somewhat predictable (see the study by Ghysels et al., 2013, and the references therein).”