Elicitation of expert opinions for uncertainty and risks

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Calibration, validation, and sensitivity analysis: What's what (2006, background): “The learning goal here is to expand the information beyond the training data set by using domain experts (see [64-66]).”
An exploration of alternative approaches to the representation of uncertainty in model predictions (2003, background): “Although such uncertainty characterizations may be obtained, at least in part, from direct experimentation and observation, most real analyses require some type of expert review and assessment process to convert available information into a mathematical form that is suitable for further analysis [74”
Defining tipping points for social-ecological systems scholarship—an interdisciplinary literature review (2018, background): “Bifurcation theory is still used today in mathematics, physics, complex systems science, and related fields. In the social sciences, tipping points originated much later to address neighborhood dynamics of racial segregation in political science (Grodzins 1957), sociology/urban planning (Wolf 1963),”