Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory

By Luis‐Miguel Chevin, R. Lande, Georgina M. Mace. PLoS Biology, 2010

1,841 citations recorded by the source corpus.

The authors analyze developmental, genetic, and demographic mechanisms by which populations tolerate changing environments and discuss empirical methods for determining the critical rate of sustained environmental change that causes population extinction.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Ecology, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/484ee9a048858d51c4f919c2d5811d1bf5cff9cd

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Ecological Modeling

In Ecology

In Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

Citations in the corpus

Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming: roles of behaviour, physiology and adaptation (2012, background): “Response will be relatively fast in species that have short generation times, pronounced heritable variation in thermal sensitivity, large population size, limited inbreeding and thermally specialized physiologies [58,67,180,181].”
The role of forest genetic resources in responding to biotic and abiotic factors in the context of anthropogenic climate change (2014, background): “Since phenotypic plasticity has a heritable basis and may be selected for under changing environments (Nicotra et al., 2010), complex interactions between traits are possible, depending on the magnitude and structure of change (Chevin et al., 2010).”
The evolution of viviparity opens opportunities for lizard radiation but drives it into a climatic cul‐de‐sac (2013, background): “Hence, the failure of these organisms to evolve oviparity from viviparity (Shine, 2005), or to quickly adapt in other ways to rapid warming (Chevin et al., 2010; Huey et al., 2010; Sinervo et al., 2010), seems to impose a major risk of short-term and large-scale extinction for cold climate…”
Behavioral flexibility as a mechanism for coping with climate change (2017, background): “Because behaviors tend to be reversible and quickly exhibited, they allow organisms to secure the benefits of a phenotype that better matches current conditions without committing to maintaining that phenotype in an uncertain future (Chevin et al. 2010).”
A framework for incorporating evolutionary genomics into biodiversity conservation and management (2015, background): “changes and increasing resistance to extremes, all in an adaptive direction [16].”
Climate‐induced resource bottlenecks exacerbate species vulnerability: a review (2015, background): “Projected changes in the frequency and severity of extremes are likely to be rapid, raising the concern that species’ adaptation potential will be exceeded (B€urger & Lynch, 1997; Chevin et al., 2010; Hoffmann & Sgr o, 2011).”
Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity (2012, background): “It may involve intraspecific variation in morphological, physiological or behavioural traits, which can occur on different time scales within the populations spatial range (Botkin et al. 2007; Chevin et al. 2010).”
Plant phenotypic plasticity in a changing climate. (2010, positive): “But even plasticity that is not currently adaptive (Figure 2) can provide sources of novel phenotypes important in phenotypic evolution [2,9].”
Thermal variability alters climatic stress resistance and plastic responses in a globally invasive pest, the Mediterranean fruit fly (Ceratitis capitata) (2010, background): “…Marais & Chown, 2008), and could even produce plastic changes in the opposite direction to those which might be considered beneficial, as predicted by plasticity theory (see discussions in Deere & Chown, 2006; Chown & Terblanche, 2007; Angilletta, 2009; Chevin et al., 2010; Chown et al., 2010).”
The genomics of local adaptation in trees: are we out of the woods yet? (2017, background): “…mutations, the former of which is ultimately determined by the direction and size of effect among a set of pleiotropic loci across a set of characters (see Arnold 1992; Wagner & Altenberg 1996; Hansen 2003, 2006; Wagner et al. 2007; Chevin et al. 2010b; Wagner & Zhang 2011; MacPherson et al. 2015).”
Terrestrial insects and climate change: adaptive responses in key traits (2019, background): “Because plastic responses can occur rapidly, plasticity has been proposed as a mechanism to buffer species from rapid changes (Chevin et al., 2010) and many of the traits that are linked to climate change, in insects, are temperature sensitive and show a degree of plasticity (Sgro et al.”
Prescriptive Evolution to Conserve and Manage Biodiversity (2014, background): “They may serve as bridges across adaptive valleys (Ghalambor et al. 2007), facilitating evolutionary rescue (Chevin et al. 2010) of threatened taxa by reducing phenotypic mismatch enough that populations can sustain the costs of selection.”