Simulation of the Recent Multidecadal Increase of Atlantic Hurricane Activity Using an 18-km-Grid Regional Model

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Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century (2013, unknown): “(20), which was also driven by NCAR/NCEP reanalysis data.”
Tropical cyclogenesis in a tropical wave critical layer: easterly waves (2008, background): “…GCM: Held and collaborators suggested that while the maximum intensity would increase, the number of intense storms woulddecrease, as if to suggest a bound on cumulative storm energy, perhaps owing to available moisture (see also Benggston et al., 2007; Knutson, 2007; Knutson et al., 2007, 2008).”
Global Warming Effects on U.S. Hurricane Damage (2011, methodology): “Another approach to quantifying the relationship be-tween climate and tropical cyclone activity is to ‘‘down-scale’’ tropical cyclone activity from reanalysis or climate model datasets, as pioneered by Knutson et al. (2007) and Emanuel et al. (2008).”