Estimating the mean and variance of the target probability distribution
By D. Nix, Andreas S. Weigend. 1994
Subfields: Statistics and Probability, Probabilistic & Bayesian Methods
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Statistics and Probability
- Gilles Louppe
- Kyle Cranmer
- David Lopez-Paz
- M. J. Willatt
- Connor W. Coley
- Ava P. Soleimany
- Mohamed H. Zaki
- Can Wan
In Probabilistic & Bayesian Methods
- Yarin Gal
- Gilles Louppe
- Balaji Lakshminarayanan
- Alex Kendall
- Kyle Cranmer
- Zoubin Ghahramani
- David Lopez-Paz
- Charles Blundell
Citations in the corpus
- What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision? (2017, background): “Heteroscedastic regression, on the other hand, assumes that observation noise can vary with input x [17, 18].”
- Beauty and the Beast: Optimal Methods Meet Learning for Drone Racing (2018, methodology): “A similar network architecture for mean-variance estimation was proposed in [22].”
- Learning to Pivot with Adversarial Networks (2016, background): “The j th output corresponds to the estimated value of the corresponding parameter γ j of that distribution (e.g., the mean, variance and mixing coefficients of its components).”
- High-Quality Self-Supervised Deep Image Denoising (2019, methodology): “To fit N (μy,Σy) to the observed noisy training data, we minimize the corresponding negative loglikelihood loss during training [22, 16, 13]:”
- Chemprop: A Machine Learning Package for Chemical Property Prediction (2023, unknown): “The estimation methods include deep ensembles, 77 dropout, 78 mean-variance estimation (MVE), 71 and evidential, 72 as well as a special version of ensemble variance for spectral predictions, 28 and the inherently probabilistic outputs of classification models.”
- Machine learning approaches for estimation of prediction interval for the model output (2006, unknown): “A machine learning technique is an algorithm that estimates (induces) a hitherto unknown mapping (or dependency) between a system’s inputs and its outputs from the available data (Mitchell, 1998).”
- Uncertainty-Aware Learning for Zero-Shot Semantic Segmentation (2020, methodology): “The variance is related to the input sample’s uncertainty [37, 43], thus allowing the model to explicitly account for the observation noise of the training data.”
- Single-Model Uncertainties for Deep Learning (2018, methodology): “Then, one can dedicate one output of the neural network to estimate the conditional variance of the target via maximum likelihood estimation [57, 44, 49].”
- Neural networks for pattern recognition (1995, background): “More generally, we might wish to determine how the variance of the data depends on the input vector x (Nix and Weigend, 1994).”
- Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles (2016, methodology): “Following [47], we use a network that outputs two values in the final layer, corresponding to the predicted mean μ(x) and variance2 2 (x) > 0.”
- Practical Confidence and Prediction Intervals (1996, methodology): “, taking into account the uncertainty of the estimator and correcting for the tendency to overfit on the training data, and a simpler procedure similar to [7] which disregards both effects.”
- Deep Evidential Regression (2019, methodology): “Our work builds on a large history of uncertainty estimation [25, 38, 37, 19] and modelling probability distributions using NNs [36, 4, 14, 26].”
- On the Uncertainty of Self-Supervised Monocular Depth Estimation (2020, background): “Another popular strategy [49] consists of training the network to infer mean and variance of the distribution p(d|I,D) of parameters Θ.”
- Data Uncertainty Learning in Face Recognition (2020, methodology): “This technique has been used by many tasks [22, 4, 30, 12, 2].”