Extinction risk from climate change is reduced by microclimatic buffering

By Andrew J. Suggitt, Robert J. Wilson, Nick J B Isaac, Colin M. Beale, A. Auffret, Tom A. August, Jonathan Bennie, H. Crick, S. Duffield, R. Fox and 5 more. Nature Climate Change, 2018

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Vulnerability of global biodiversity hotspots to climate change (2021, background): “…has shown that species are more likely to persist in the face of climate change in areas with high microclimate heterogeneity (Maclean et al., 2015; Suggitt et al., 2018), because the provision of microclimatic variation increases the probability that a viable set of environmental conditions…”
Topoclimates, refugia, and biotic responses to climate change (2020, background): “This prediction is supported by patterns of endemic diversity (Sandel et al. 2011) and local extinction rates observed in the 20th century (Suggitt et al. 2018).”
Forest microclimate dynamics drive plant responses to warming (2020, background): “by providing thermal refuges and facilitating short-distance thermal niche tracking (27, 31, 32).”
Insect responses to global change offer signposts for biodiversity and conservation (2020, background): “Incorporating these effects of microclimatic variation can be important to understand distribution change: in England, extirpation risk of warming-sensitive Coleoptera and Lepidoptera was reduced by microclimatic heterogeneity (Suggitt et al., 2018).”