Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone
By J. Reilly, S. Paltsev, B. Felzer, Xiaodong Wang, D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim, A. Sokolov, Chien Wang. 2007
144 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Multiple environmental changes will have consequences for global vegetation. To the extent that crop yields and pasture and forest productivity are affected, there can be important economic consequences. We examine the combined effects of changes in climate, increases in carbon dioxide (CO2), and changes in tropospheric ozone on crop, pasture, and forest lands and the consequences for the global and regional economies. We examine scenarios where there is limited or little effort to control these substances, and policy scenarios that limit emissions of CO2 and ozone precursors. We find the effects of climate and CO2 to be generally positive, and the effects of ozone to be very detrimental. Unless ozone is strongly controlled, damage could offset CO2 and climate benefits. We find that resource allocation among sectors in the economy, and trade among countries, can strongly affect the estimate of economic effect in a country.
Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Plant Science
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/37d25a832a73d7f0e262967ff056a681ae9c9ecf
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Citations in the corpus
- Some Contributions of Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate Change (2017, background): “…a number of these interactions and feedbacks have been addressed with DP IAMs, including the interaction between climate and air pollution polices (Reilly et al. 2007; Chuwah et al. 2013; Nam et al. 2016), the increased competition for water between agriculture and power plant cooling that would…”
- The Global Supply and Demand for Agricultural Land in 2050: A Perfect Storm in the Making? AAEA Presidential Address (2010, background): “This will shift the pattern of global comparative advantage in agriculture (J. Reilly et al. 2007), and may well reduce the productivity of farming in precisely those regions of the world where malnutrition is most prevalent, while increasing yield variability and the vulnerability of the world’s…”
- Climate change and trade in agriculture (2011, background): “Reilly et al. (2007) analyse the counter-argument that increased respiration of ozone may off-set the positive yield effects of CO2 fertilization.”
- Green Growth and the Efficient Use of Natural Resources (2012, background): “Here we are ignoring any potential environmental effects of fossil fuel use, and so, clearly, using the fossil fuel allows his economy to grow.”