Measurement and Modality: The Scalar Basis of Modal Semantics.

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Must, knowledge, and (in)directness (2016, background): “For example, the scalar epistemic adjectives probable and likely have context-sensitive meanings that change with the distribution of probabilities among salient alternative sets (Teigen 1988; Windschitl and Wells 1998; Yalcin 2010; Lassiter 2011).”
Anankastic conditionals are just conditionals (2016, methodology): “Using the same kind of formal tools, Lassiter (2011) offers a similar analysis, which applies to modals as well. other hand, he has certain preferences for how the world turns out to be, relative to outcomes over which he might have some influence.”
On measurement and quantification: The case of most and more than half (2016, background): “Lassiter (2011) similarly shows that differences in level of measurement can account for differences in the behavior of epistemic vs. deontic modals.”