Rising rural body-mass index is the main driver of the global obesity epidemic in adults
By Honor Bixby, J. Bentham, Bin Zhou, M. Di Cesare, Christopher J. Paciorek, J. Bennett, C. Taddei, Gretchen A. Stevens, A. Rodriguez-Martinez, R. Carrillo-Larco and 1,144 more. Nature, 2019
617 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Body-mass index (BMI) has increased steadily in most countries in parallel with a rise in the proportion of the population who live in cities1,2. This has led to a widely reported view that urbanization is one of the most important drivers of the global rise in obesity3–6. Here we use 2,009 population-based studies, with measurements of height and weight in more than 112 million adults, to report national, regional and global trends in mean BMI segregated by place of residence (a rural or urban area) from 1985 to 2017. We show that, contrary to the dominant paradigm, more than 55% of the global rise in mean BMI from 1985 to 2017—and more than 80% in some low- and middle-income regions—was due to increases in BMI in rural areas. This large contribution stems from the fact that, with the exception of women in sub-Saharan Africa, BMI is increasing at the same rate or faster in rural areas than in cities in low- and middle-income regions. These trends have in turn resulted in a closing—and in some countries reversal—of the gap in BMI between urban and rural areas in low- and middle-income countries, especially for women. In high-income and industrialized countries, we noted a persistently higher rural BMI, especially for women. There is an urgent need for an integrated approach to rural nutrition that enhances financial and physical access to healthy foods, to avoid replacing the rural undernutrition disadvantage in poor countries with a more general malnutrition disadvantage that entails excessive consumption of low-quality calories. Contrary to the view that urbanization is a major driver of the global rise in obesity, the global increase in body-mass index is shown to be mostly due to increases in the body-mass indexes of rural populations.
Subfields: Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/2a959623f1a1590100e4245a0c2181e3634c9c8c
Citations in the corpus
- Global, regional, and national prevalence of adult overweight and obesity, 1990–2021, with forecasts to 2050: a forecasting study for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (2025, neutral): “13,14 Such heterogeneity extends to the subnational level, 63,64 where socioeconomic factors interact with individuals’ sex, race, ethnicity, and other characteristics, yielding a complex interplay of obesity risk across subpopulations.”
- Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults (2024, neutral): “Finally, although our statistical model has been shown to be unbiased and have small deviation (ie, random error) in cross-validation analyses, 3,10 fitting to data that vary in relation to age, country, and year has the potential for model misspecification.”