Economic Growth and the Expansion of Urban Land in China

By Xiangzheng Deng, Jikun Huang, Scott Rozelle, E. Uchida. 2010

331 citations recorded by the source corpus.

This paper aims to demonstrate the relationship between economic growth and the urban core area in order to help urban planners reach a better understanding of the pressures that are leading to changes in land use. Using a unique panel dataset with measures of China’s land use, it is shown that, during the late 1980s and 1990s, China’s urban land area rose significantly. Descriptive statistics and multivariate analysis are then used to identify the determinants of urban land use change. In addition to using more standard regression approaches such as ordinary least squares, the analysis is augmented with spatial statistical analysis. The analysis demonstrates the overwhelming importance of economic growth in the determination of urban land use. Overall, it is found that urban land expands by 3 per cent when the economy, measured by gross domestic product, grows by 10 per cent. It is also shown that the expansion of the urban core is associated with changes in China’s economic structure. If urban planners have access to forecasts of economic growth, using these results they should be able to have a better basis for planning the expansion of the built-up area in the urban core.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/286bf05a2a3885492d14e3c45597ad55c3fc191f

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Economics and Econometrics

1. Zhiji Huang
2. Canfei He
3. Yehua Dennis Wei
4. Jikun Huang
5. Xiangzheng Deng
6. Handuo Li
7. Scott Rozelle
8. Rui Wang

In Global and Planetary Change

1. Xiangzheng Deng
2. Zhiji Huang
3. Canfei He
4. Jikun Huang
5. Scott Rozelle
6. Handuo Li
7. Zhihui Li
8. Jipeng Zhang

Citations in the corpus

• Impact of urbanization on cultivated land changes in China (2015, methodology): “…interpolated the site-based climate records into the surface with a spatial resolution of 1 km by 1 km, and then aggregated the cell-based information on the air temperature surface to the administrative units in counties (cities) using GIS spatial analysis techniques (Deng et al., 2008, 2010).”
• Urban growth dilemmas and solutions in China: Looking forward to 2030 (2016, background): “…from the (collective) peasant owners in return for cash compensation other monetary equivalent such as discounted social services etc. Urbanization needs land, but what remains unknown is the exact number of other land uses needed to convert this into construction land (Deng et al., 2010).”
• Land use change and economic growth in urban China: A structural equation analysis (2014, background): “Spatial competition in land supply would generate negative impacts on economic growth in neighbouring cities (Deng et al., 2010).”
• Urban land expansion under economic transition in China: A multi- level modeling analysis * (2015, background): “This is reasonable, because these regions have witnessed dramatic industrialization and urbanization (Deng et al., 2010; He et al., 2014).”