Betting on conditionals

85 citations recorded by the source corpus.

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

Questions and challenges for the new psychology of reasoning (2012, background): “The former restriction that premises must be assumed to be true also no longer applies, so that we can now consider how people reason with degrees of uncertainty in all of their beliefs, as proposed originally by de Finetti (1937/1964) and Ramsey (1926/1990), the founders of contemporary Bayesianism”
Bayesian reasoning with ifs and ands and ors (2015, unknown): “…strong and converging empirical support (Oaksford et al., 2000; Evans et al., 2003; Oberauer and Wilhelm, 2003; Oberauer et al., 2007; Over et al., 2007; Douven and Verbrugge, 2010; Politzer et al., 2010; Fugard et al., 2011b; Baratgin et al., 2014; Cruz and Oberauer, 2014; Singmann et al., 2014).”
Uncertainty and the de Finetti tables (2013, methodology): “…actual probability judgements about conditionals (Douven & Verbrugge, 2010; Evans, Handley, Neilens, & Over, 2007; Evans, Handley, & Over, 2003; Fugard, Pfeifer, Mayerhofer, & Kleiter, 2011; Oberauer & Wilhelm, 2003; Over, Hadjichristidis, Evans, Handley, & Sloman, 2007; Politzer et al., 2010).”