The trouble with Vronsky: Impact bias in the forecasting of future affective states.

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Does Happiness Adapt? A Longitudinal Study of Disability with Implications for Economists and Judges (2008, unknown): “Affective forecasting is known to be imperfect (Gilbert et al 1998, 2002; Ubel et al 2005).”
Why does income growth fail to make us happier?: Searching for the treadmills behind the paradox of happiness (2006, background): “…feelings are many times highly uncertain, and most people are not very good in predicting the future joy they will derive from spending money and time in a particular way (see, for example,Gilbert and Ebert, 2002; Gilbert et al., 2002; Herrnstein and Prelec, 1992; Loewenstein and Schkade, 1999).”