A dynamic bivariate Poisson model for analysing and forecasting match results in the English Premier League
By S. J. Koopman, Rutger Lit. 2015
152 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Subfields: Artificial Intelligence, Economics and Econometrics, Statistics and Probability
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/22ad738ef85e64f5038751e521062ed13054258c
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Artificial Intelligence
- Andreas Groll
- Gunther Josef Schauberger
- Ian G. McHale
- Christophe Ley
- Georgi N. Boshnakov
- Gerhard E. Tutz
- Tarak Kharrat
- Tom Van de Wiele
In Economics and Econometrics
- Georgi N. Boshnakov
- Tarak Kharrat
- Andreas Groll
- Gunther Josef Schauberger
- Ian G. McHale
- Christophe Ley
- Gerhard E. Tutz
- Tom Van de Wiele
In Statistics and Probability
- Andreas Groll
- Gunther Josef Schauberger
- Ian G. McHale
- Christophe Ley
- Georgi N. Boshnakov
- Gerhard E. Tutz
- Tarak Kharrat
- Tom Van de Wiele
Citations in the corpus
- A bivariate Weibull count model for forecasting association football scores (2017, background): “First, one can build a model in which the team strengths are assumed to vary stochastically, such as in Crowder et al. (2002), Owen (2011) or Koopman and Lit (2015).”
- Ranking soccer teams on basis of their current strength: a comparison of maximum likelihood approaches (2017, methodology): “Such dynamic bivariate Poisson models were applied to analyze English Premier League matches by Crowder et al. (2002) and Koopman and Lit (2015).”
- Forecasting football match results in national league competitions using score-driven time series models (2019, unknown): “The partially non-Gaussian state space model (20) has been treated by Koopman and Lit (2014) in the context of modelling football match results with an application to the English Premier League.”
- Prediction of major international soccer tournaments based on team-specific regularized Poisson regression: An application to the FIFA World Cup 2014 (2015, background): “In this context we want to mention a very recent publication of Koopman and Lit (2015). They assume a bivariate Poisson distribution for the goals in English Premier League matches, with intensity coefficients that change stochastically over time by modeling the teams’ ability parameters as first or”