An empirical seasonal prediction model of the east Asian summer monsoon using ENSO and NAO

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Astronomical and glacial forcing of East Asian summer monsoon variability (2015, unknown): “The different SP responses to astronomical and glacial forcings between NC and SC re ﬂ ect the complex dynamics of the East Asia summer monsoon, linked to high-and low-latitude climates through migrations of westerly jet and subtropical High (Wu et al., 2009; Nagashima et al., 2011; Sun et al., 2012”
Subtropical High predictability establishes a promising way for monsoon and tropical storm predictions (2013, background): “38), because the NAOI (27) was found to be a complementary predictor for EASM (28, 29).”
A delayed oscillator model for the quasi-periodic multidecadal variability of the NAO (2015, unknown): “There is some consensus in observational studies that the NAO leads to the NAT nearly instantaneously through surface heat flux changes (Wu et al. 2009; Deser et al. 2010) and that the AMO follows the NAO with a 15–20 year delay through AMOC changes (Latif et al. 2006a, b; Latif and Keenlyside…”