Predictive Bayesian Model Selection

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Sensitivity and Specificity of Information Criteria (2018, unknown): “However, it has some relationship to AIC and has an analogous purpose (Claeskens and Hjort, 2008; Ando, 2013).”
B → K∗ℓ+ℓ− decays at large recoil in the Standard Model: a theoretical reappraisal (2015, methodology): “We close this section by comparing the above scenarios using the Information Criterion [76, 77], defined as IC = −2logL+ 4σ(2) logL , (3.”
New Physics in $${\varvec{b \rightarrow s \ell ^+ \ell ^-}}$$ confronts new data on lepton universality (2019, unknown): “[214],”
The deviance information criterion: 12 years on (2014, methodology): “van der Linde (2005, 2012), Plummer (2008) and Ando (2012) have all concluded that DIC overfits because it uses a plug-in estimate in the predictive target rather than the proper predictive distribution, and all have concluded that a better method would be to increase the penalty: DICÅ =D.θ̄/+3pD =…”