How are seasonal prediction skills related to models’ performance on mean state and annual cycle?

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Seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian winter temperature variability (2013, background): “…which has turned out to be the most challengeable in current climate models and observation shown by numerous studies (e.g. Kang et al. 2002; Ha et al. 2005; Kang and Shukla 2006; Yang et al. 2008; Wang et al. 2004, 2008, 2009; Lee et al. 2010, 2011a, b; Lee and Wang 2012a and many others).”