Measuring Sample Quality with Diffusions

By Jackson Gorham, Andrew B. Duncan, Sandra Jeanne Vollmer, Lester W. Mackey. 2016

123 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Standard Markov chain Monte Carlo diagnostics, like effective sample size, are ineffective for biased sampling procedures that sacrifice asymptotic correctness for computational speed. Recent work addresses this issue for a class of strongly log-concave target distributions by constructing a computable discrepancy measure based on Stein's method that provably determines convergence to the target. We generalize this approach to cover any target with a fast-coupling Ito diffusion by bounding the derivatives of Stein equation solutions in terms of Markov process coupling times. As example applications, we develop computable and convergence-determining diffusion Stein discrepancies for log-concave, heavy-tailed, and multimodal targets and use these quality measures to select the hyperparameters of biased samplers, compare random and deterministic quadrature rules, and quantify bias-variance tradeoffs in approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo. Our explicit multivariate Stein factor bounds may be of independent interest.

Subfields: Applied Mathematics, Statistics and Probability

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Applied Mathematics

  1. Christopher Nemeth
  2. Paul Fearnhead
  3. Jackson Gorham
  4. Lester W. Mackey
  5. Michael I. Jordan
  6. Qi-Man Shao
  7. Peter L. Bartlett
  8. Xiang Cheng

In Statistics and Probability

  1. Christopher Nemeth
  2. Lester W. Mackey
  3. Paul Fearnhead
  4. Chris J. Oates
  5. Qiang Liu
  6. Jackson Gorham
  7. Mark A. Girolami
  8. Michael I. Jordan

Citations in the corpus