How Scared Should Macroeconomists Be of the Future

By J. DeLong. 2010

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Black Swans, Lame Ducks, and the mystery of IPE's missing macroeconomy (2017, background): “For the original thesis of the ‘Great Moderation’, see Bernanke (2004).”
Dynamic predictor selection in a new Keynesian model with heterogeneous expectations (2010, background): “The form of (3) is what Evans and Honkapohja (2003, 2004), Evans and McGough (2004, 2005), and Preston (2005) call an ‘expectations-based’ rule.”
Explaining and Forecasting Bond Risk Premiums (2010, methodology): “, the rate of output growth and the rate of employment in the G–7 countries since the mid-1980s) is a welldocumented fact that has found an effective summary in the expression great moderation (Stock and Watson 2003; Bernanke 2004; Summers 2005).”
Learning from History: Volatility and Financial Crises (2016, background): “This is interesting as the years of the Great Moderation tend to be associated with the lowest macroeconomic volatility, at least for developed countries (see e.g. Blanchard and Simon, 2001; Bernanke, 2012).”