Fish to 2030: The Role and Opportunity for Aquaculture

By Mimako Kobayashi, S. Msangi, M. Batka, S. Vannuccini, Mohitosh Dey, James L. Anderson. 2015

377 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Seafood sector can contribute to the global food supply in an important way, and provide an important source of animal protein. Based on observed regional trends in seafood production and consumption and using a global, partial-equilibrium, multi-market model, this study investigates what the global seafood market may look like in 2030. The model projects that the total fish supply will increase from 154 million tons in 2011 to 186 million tons in 2030, with aquaculture entirely responsible for the increase. The fastest aquaculture growth is expected for tilapia and shrimp, while the largest expansion is expected in India, Latin America and Caribbean and Southeast Asia. Fast-growing seafood demand in China and elsewhere represents a critical opportunity for global fisheries and aquaculture to improve their management and achieve sustainable seafood economy.

Subfields: Aquatic Science, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/117daec319259086885adf98e4acde82e4b3d315

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Citations in the corpus

Prospects and challenges of fish for food security in Africa (2019, methodology): “The details of the model structure and model update are described in previous papers (Chan et al., 2017; Kobayashi et al., 2015; World Bank, 2013).”
Sustaining healthy diets: The role of capture fisheries and aquaculture for improving nutrition in the post-2015 era (2016, background): “This has important implications for analysing trends in demand and predicting future fish supply (Kobayashi et al., 2015).”
U.S. seafood consumption (2019, background): “As aquaculture production is expected to continue to increase while wild production remains stagnant (Kobayashi et al., 2015), there is no reason to expect that this development will not continue to influence the consumption of farmed species, both in the United States and globally.”
Commercialization and upgrading in the aquaculture value chain in Zambia (2017, background): “6 kilograms (kg) of fish per capita per year (Kobayashi et al., 2015).”
Apparent digestibility of nutrients, energy, essential amino acids and fatty acids of juvenile Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar L.) diets containing whole-cell or cell-ruptured Chlorella vulgaris meals at five dietary inclusion levels (2017, background): “…Introduction52 Global demand for compound aquafeeds is around 32 million metric tonnes (MMT), is growing at 53 ~12% annually and will soon reach almost 50 MMT as world aquaculture production is projected to double 54 within the next 10-15 years (Kobayashi et al. 2015; Tacon and Metian 2008, 2015).”
Fish farmers and regulators coping with the wickedness of aquaculture (2017, neutral): “Technological innovations, diseases, prices of production factors, fish market prices and market access are important determinants of profitability and growth (Anderson, 2002; Asche, 2008; Bostock et al., 2010; Guttormsen, Myrland, & Tveteras, 2011; Kobayashi et al., 2015; Kumar & Engle, 2016).”