Measuring the Economic Impact of Climate Change on Ethiopian Agriculture : Ricardian Approach

By T. Deressa. 2007

279 citations recorded by the source corpus.

This study uses the Ricardian approach to analyze the impact of climate change on Ethiopian agriculture and to describe farmer adaptations to varying environmental factors. The study analyzes data from 11 of the country's 18 agro-ecological zones, representing more than 74 percent of the country, and survey of 1,000 farmers from 50 districts. Regressing of net revenue on climate, household, and soil variables show that these variables have a significant impact on the farmers' net revenue per hectare.The study carries out a marginal impact analysis of increasing temperature and changing precipitation across the four seasons. In addition, it examines the impact of uniform climate scenarios on farmers' net revenue per hectare. Additionally, it analyzes the net revenue impact of predicted climate scenarios from three models for the years 2050 and 2100. In general, the results indicate that increasing temperature and decreasing precipitation are both damaging to Ethiopian agriculture. Although the analysis did not incorporate the carbon fertilization effect, the role of technology, or the change in prices for the future, significant information for policy-making can be extracted.

Subfields: Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Economics and Econometrics, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

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In Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

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Citations in the corpus

Determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods to climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia (2009, background): “Studies have been undertaken to measure the impact of climate change on Ethiopian agriculture (Deressa, 2007; NMSA, 2001; Kidane et al., 2006) and water resources (Kinfe, 1999; Lijalem et al.”
Assessing household vulnerability to climate change: The case of farmers in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia (2009, background): “…for this low productivity include: reliance on obsolete farming techniques; soil degradation caused by overgrazing and deforestation; poor complementary services such as extension services, credit, markets and infrastructure; and climatic factors such as drought and flood (Deressa 2007).”
The impact of climate change and adaptation on food production in low-income countries: Evidence from the Nile Basin, Ethiopia (2008, background): “These results are consistent with a similar study by Deressa et al. (2008), which used a multinomial logit model in the Nile Basin.”
Using panel data to estimate the effect of rainfall shocks on smallholders food security and vulnerability in rural Ethiopia (2011, background): “The impact of change in climatic condition on agricultural production and productivity in different parts of Africa has been widely studied (Downing 1992; Schulze et al. 1993; Mohamed et al. 2002a, b; Chipanshi et al. 2003; Deressa 2007; Yesuf et al. 2008).”