Reducing model complexity for explanation and prediction

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Physics‐based modeling of large braided sand‐bed rivers: Bar pattern formation, dynamics, and sensitivity (2013, background): “Reduced complexity models include rules that simulate certain behavior in nature on the spatial and temporal scale of interest and only the effects of smaller scales are included [e.g., Murray, 2007].”
Biomorphodynamics: Physical‐biological feedbacks that shape landscapes (2008, background): “…provide a good start in early, exploratory stages of understanding a phenomenon [Murray, 2003], the community will ultimately need to put biomorphodynamics models on solid empirical footing, both to test the validity of exploratory models and to provide more quantitative confidence [Murray, 2007a].”