An efficient semiparametric maxima estimator of the extremal index
By Paul Northrop. 2015
47 citations recorded by the source corpus.
The extremal index θ, a measure of the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary process, plays an important role in extreme value analyses. We estimate θ semiparametrically, using the relationship between the distribution of block maxima and the marginal distribution of a process to define a semiparametric model. We show that these semiparametric estimators are simpler and substantially more efficient than their parametric counterparts. We seek to improve efficiency further using maxima over sliding blocks. A simulation study shows that the semiparametric estimators are competitive with the leading estimators. An application to sea-surge heights combines inferences about θ with a standard extreme value analysis of block maxima to estimate marginal quantiles.
Subfields: Finance, Global and Planetary Change, Oceanography
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/05804e37407060366f0f1fed33539555871ad6b7
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In Global and Planetary Change
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Citations in the corpus
- A Horse Race between the Block Maxima Method and the Peak–over–Threshold Approach (2018, background): “Regarding the estimation of the extremal index, a large variety of estimators has been proposed, which may itself be grouped into four categories: 1) BM-like estimators based on “blocking” techniques (Northrop, 2015; Berghaus and Bücher, 2017), 2) POT-like estimators that rely on threshold exceedanc”