Bayesian functional ANOVA modeling using Gaussian process prior distributions

By Cari Kaufman, Stephan R. Sain. 2010

150 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Functional analysis of variance (ANOVA) models partition a func- tional response according to the main efiects and interactions of various factors. This article develops a general framework for functional ANOVA modeling from a Bayesian viewpoint, assigning Gaussian process prior distributions to each batch of functional efiects. We discuss the choices to be made in specifying such a model, advocating the treatment of levels within a given factor as dependent but exchangeable quantities, and we suggest weakly informative prior distributions for higher level parameters that may be appropriate in many situations. We discuss computationally e-cient strategies for posterior sampling using Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms, and we emphasize useful graphical summaries based on the posterior distribution of model-based analogues of traditional ANOVA decom- positions of variance. We illustrate this process of model speciflcation, posterior sampling, and graphical posterior summaries in two examples. The flrst consid- ers the efiect of geographic region on the temperature proflles at weather stations in Canada. The second example examines sources of variability in the output of regional climate models from a designed experiment.

Subfields: Artificial Intelligence, Statistics and Probability

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/05186498a81c026e6112f3b38cebcac2b1a6a211

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In Artificial Intelligence

  1. David Kristjanson Duvenaud
  2. Hannes Nickisch
  3. Carl E. Rasmussen
  4. Eric-Jan Wagenmakers
  5. Ruud Wetzels
  6. Andrew Gordon Wilson
  7. Raoul P. P. P. Grasman
  8. Sergey Levine

In Statistics and Probability

  1. Eric-Jan Wagenmakers
  2. Ruud Wetzels
  3. David Kristjanson Duvenaud
  4. Hannes Nickisch
  5. Raoul P. P. P. Grasman
  6. Carl E. Rasmussen
  7. John K. Kruschke
  8. Zoltan Dienes

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